Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008401 0.009880 0.011654 0.013976 0.016987 0.020836 0.026264
2025-08-17 0.006193 0.007818 0.009982 0.013178 0.017973 0.025271 0.038073
2025-08-24 0.005039 0.006644 0.008924 0.012575 0.018648 0.029205 0.051482
2025-08-31 0.004483 0.006132 0.008611 0.012874 0.020691 0.036222 0.076475
2025-09-07 0.003943 0.005534 0.008021 0.012529 0.021432 0.041140 0.102488
2025-09-14 0.003496 0.005002 0.007432 0.012024 0.021660 0.045072 0.131682
2025-09-21 0.003215 0.004693 0.007153 0.012010 0.022895 0.052296 0.187278
2025-09-28 0.003058 0.004561 0.007151 0.012523 0.025518 0.065508 0.313977
2025-10-05 0.002988 0.004564 0.007384 0.013569 0.029952 0.089479 0.678253
2025-10-12 0.002853 0.004434 0.007348 0.014020 0.033027 0.112788 1.427641
2025-10-19 0.002666 0.004191 0.007057 0.013813 0.034062 0.128616 2.647259
2025-10-26 0.002520 0.004011 0.006866 0.013808 0.035787 0.151762 6.520955
2025-11-02 0.002329 0.003742 0.006494 0.013359 0.036133 0.170252 19.058977
2025-11-09 0.002131 0.003447 0.006037 0.012612 0.035149 0.178977 58.381909
2025-11-16 0.001971 0.003208 0.005673 0.012045 0.034648 0.192238 579.394532
2025-11-23 0.001893 0.003122 0.005624 0.012326 0.037812 0.252803 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001779 0.002955 0.005379 0.012002 0.038209 0.286974 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001666 0.002781 0.005099 0.011525 0.037700 0.309621 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001594 0.002684 0.004982 0.011513 0.039499 0.383524 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001559 0.002657 0.005023 0.011996 0.044306 0.574027 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001552 0.002687 0.005203 0.012981 0.053128 1.112171 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001514 0.002649 0.005212 0.013406 0.059105 1.897063 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001449 0.002549 0.005056 0.013211 0.060611 2.539088 NaN